Energy Prices, Recession Risk, and What the Latest Economic Forecast Means for Business

Information as of May 20, 2026 Rising energy costs are reshaping the economic outlook — and businesses across the country are feeling it. With oil prices more than doubling from roughly $50 per barrel last quarter to approximately $107 today, the ripple effects on inflation, consumer spending, and recession probability are significant. Economists now estimate […]

Experian Commercial Pulse

Experian’s Marsha Silverman is excited to share with you the current Experian Commercial Pulse Report. She has the opportunity each week to analyze data on the millions of U.S small businesses in Experian’s database, and discover actionable insights that benefit our clients. Making these discoveries is rewarding work, and we utilize these insights to guide […]

Gartner Survey: Most CEOs Anticipate an Economic Boom Over the Next Two Years

Written By: NACM National More CEOs anticipate an economic boom (60%) rather than stagnation (40%) in 2021 and 2022, according to a recent survey of CEOs and senior executives by Gartner, Inc., a research and advisory company. Most respondents (35%) anticipate returning to or exceeding 2019 revenue levels as early as this year. More than […]

Looking Out Over the Next 18 Months

As we speak with hundreds of business executives, there are two primary thoughts that seem to be on the top of their minds. They want to know what the economic recovery curve looks like for the next year and what the prospects of a worse, Wave 2 of the virus this fall are. Of course, […]

What’s an Analyst to Do? Use an Economic Dartboard.

Written by: Keith Prather, Managing Director, Armada Corporate Intelligence It is far too easy to say that these are “unprecedented times simply” and “we’ve never seen this before.” Depending on what economic or societal metrics one looks at, we can point to any number of major ‘catastrophic’ times in the country’s history and make an […]

Economic Review – A Tale of Two Economies

Written by: Keith Prather, Armada Corporation Intelligence Depending on which media source one prefers to listen to, it seems that we are being pitched two extreme economic conditions. But when we peel back the onion, there is an interesting story at the core of our current economic condition. The U.S. (and the global economy for […]

Economic Review – A Fragile Place

Written by: Scott Hoyt, Senior Director, Moody’s Analytics The U.S. economy is growing below its potential. Real GDP growth in the second quarter will probably come in close to 1.5%, while the economy’s current potential is estimated to be between 2.0-2.5%. If growth does not pick-up soon, job growth, which has already moderated significantly from […]

Economic Review – D&B Small Business Health Index

The U.S. Small Business Health Index increased 0.4 points m/m in March amid a continued fall in the number of small businesses failures. The index reached a 27-month high as the failure ratio, which compares the survival rate of small businesses over the prior year, currently hovers around an over four year best. However, card […]

Fundamentals Matter: 2019 Economic Outlook

By: Keith Prather, Armada Corporate Intelligence Many of us have heard of the famed “Wall of Worry” that purveys through the financial media today. It is the cumulative fear of events from Brexit to a China trade war, the inverted yield curve to an overzealous Federal Reserve and everything in-between that affects executive behavior. Sometimes […]